Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 7.969850 8.787572 9.677655 10.722633 11.921169 13.259145 14.874565
2026-01-25 6.728081 7.782030 9.005084 10.543400 12.446693 14.751235 17.794615
2026-02-01 5.981237 7.143597 8.552392 10.411669 12.840951 15.965341 20.386737
2026-02-08 5.417881 6.632502 8.155266 10.243191 13.094603 16.950743 22.740814
2026-02-15 4.956306 6.190534 7.781384 10.033227 13.226183 17.736333 24.875050
2026-02-22 4.631958 5.890602 7.554079 9.978435 13.538355 18.778947 27.509982
2026-03-01 4.261596 5.496193 7.160233 9.642180 13.390635 19.098386 29.023736
2026-03-08 3.895608 5.080656 6.703205 9.168950 12.979545 18.946640 29.704624
2026-03-15 3.665531 4.837658 6.469628 9.000093 13.009693 19.485033 31.641623
2026-03-22 3.722858 5.001333 6.826817 9.745385 14.551911 22.699535 39.025026
2026-03-29 3.629514 4.939499 6.844904 9.961375 15.245385 24.542068 44.151920
2026-04-05 3.433674 4.714756 6.602070 9.738264 15.165775 24.972052 46.445275
2026-04-12 3.350918 4.659282 6.621989 9.958211 15.905419 27.077532 52.950837
2026-04-19 3.185901 4.470153 6.422119 9.795504 15.942058 27.831167 56.573688
2026-04-26 3.044604 4.309400 6.256357 9.675898 16.042330 28.721023 60.740978
2026-05-03 2.907823 4.148338 6.079965 9.522861 16.060989 29.439453 64.654759
2026-05-10 2.773931 3.985159 5.890609 9.332034 15.985672 29.942863 68.127440
2026-05-17 2.677370 3.876498 5.784579 9.282217 16.183117 31.076127 73.695548
2026-05-24 2.539153 3.694866 5.547484 8.976314 15.831865 30.907529 75.374125
2026-05-31 2.386434 3.484068 5.252123 8.545268 15.187636 29.978451 74.502855
2026-06-07 2.293012 3.366323 5.109432 8.391308 15.111072 30.400051 78.087507
2026-06-14 2.349320 3.496044 5.396166 9.070236 16.880589 35.650388 99.885988
2026-06-21 2.320553 3.482555 5.432390 9.266705 17.616250 38.413154 114.199813